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Confidence & Clinical Uncertainty

How Long Does It Take to Feel Confident as a New PA?

By Michelle Roy, PA-C ·

PA school teaches students an extraordinary amount.

How to take a history. Build a differential diagnosis. Interpret laboratory findings. Recognize disease. Choose treatment. Communicate with patients. Make clinical decisions.

But there is another part of becoming a clinician that we spend far less time talking about:

What becoming competent is actually going to feel like.

The uncertainty.

The second-guessing.

The first patient encounter you replay in your head long after you’ve gone home.

The uncomfortable moment when someone asks a question you cannot answer.

Watching another new PA appear completely confident while you’re still looking something up before walking back into the room.

Many early-career PAs interpret these experiences as evidence that they are behind.

I increasingly think the problem is not that they are behind.

The problem is that we may not have adequately prepared them for what the process of becoming clinically competent actually looks and feels like.

There Is a Gap Between Graduating and Feeling Like a Clinician

You graduate.

You pass the PANCE.

You get the job.

Your badge now says PA-C.

From the outside, you have arrived.

Inside, it may feel very different.

You are still asking questions.

You still need to look things up.

Routine cases require more mental effort than you expected.

You watch experienced clinicians make decisions almost reflexively while you are still mentally working through a differential.

And it can be easy to conclude:

I should be better at this by now.

That conclusion is often reinforced by comparison.

We see colleagues posting successful patient outcomes, new jobs, promotions, certifications, and professional accomplishments.

We rarely see the uncertainty that came before them.

We compare our internal experience with someone else’s visible outcome.

That is not a particularly reliable way to measure professional growth.

What Research on New PAs Tells Us

There is some evidence that the transition from PA education into clinical practice is not a uniform experience.

In a study examining novice PAs during their first two years of practice, researchers identified three different perspectives on transferring learning into clinical work: partnership, self-reliance, and insecurity.

Some new PAs experienced relatively few obstacles. Others encountered environmental barriers. A third group experienced both individual and environmental obstacles as they tried to translate what they had learned in training into practice.

The important point is not that every new PA struggles.

It is that the transition into practice varies considerably, and uncertainty during that transition does not necessarily mean someone is failing.

That seems worth telling students before they graduate.

Clinical Confidence Does Not Arrive With the Diploma

We need to be careful with the word confidence.

Confidence is broad.

A more precise concept in psychology is self-efficacy, which refers to a person’s belief in their ability to perform a particular task or manage a specific situation.

Albert Bandura’s foundational work on self-efficacy proposed that these beliefs are shaped through several sources, particularly successful performance experiences, observing others, feedback and encouragement, and our interpretation of physiological and emotional responses.

In other words, believing that you can manage clinical situations develops partly by actually managing clinical situations.

A critical review of self-efficacy research involving medical students also concluded that self-efficacy is relevant to learning and skill development, while cautioning researchers not to treat general confidence, perceived competence, and task-specific self-efficacy as interchangeable concepts.

That distinction matters in clinical education.

A new PA may feel generally uncertain while becoming increasingly capable of managing specific patients, procedures, conversations, or clinical problems.

Competence can be growing even while confidence is catching up.

Medical Education Shows Us the Destination Better Than the Journey

Clinical education understandably focuses on outcomes.

Students need to become safe, knowledgeable, competent clinicians.

But when most of our attention is directed toward what competence should eventually look like, students may leave training without a realistic understanding of the developmental process required to get there.

Clinical expertise develops through repeated experience, feedback, reflection, supervision, increasing exposure to complexity, and time.

Professional identity develops as well.

Medical education researchers describe professional identity formation as an ongoing process influenced by clinical experiences, relationships, role models, expectations, learning environments, and the process of gradually seeing oneself as a member of the profession.

In other words, becoming a clinician is not merely an accumulation of medical knowledge.

It is also a process of becoming.

And processes are messy.

There Is No Universal PA Confidence Timeline

I used to think it would be helpful to give new clinicians a timeline.

Six months.

A year.

Three years.

Five years.

But the longer I have thought about this, the less comfortable I am suggesting that there is one schedule for becoming confident.

There isn’t.

Specialty matters.

Patient volume matters.

Complexity matters.

Quality of supervision matters.

Prior experience matters.

The culture of the workplace matters.

Changing specialties can make a competent clinician feel like a novice again.

But there are broad stages that many clinicians recognize.

At first, almost everything requires conscious effort

Early in practice, even relatively routine decisions can consume substantial mental energy.

You know enough to recognize how much you do not know.

That can be uncomfortable.

It can also be protective.

Careful clinicians ask questions.

They consult resources.

They seek supervision.

They think before acting.

Those behaviors are not necessarily signs that someone is failing to become independent.

They are often part of becoming safe.

Then patterns begin to emerge

After enough repetition, certain presentations become familiar.

You have seen this before.

You recognize what matters.

Your differential develops more quickly.

You begin anticipating the next question, next test, or next management decision.

But an unfamiliar presentation can still knock your confidence sideways.

Competence is often context-dependent before it becomes adaptable.

Then something interesting can happen

Other people begin trusting your judgment before you fully trust it yourself.

You may be managing routine cases well.

Recognizing patterns.

Making sound decisions.

Helping newer colleagues.

And still thinking:

But what if I missed something?

This is one reason deliberate reflection matters.

Without it, clinicians can continue evaluating themselves using an outdated picture of what they are now capable of doing.

Eventually, experience changes the way you see

Experienced clinicians sometimes appear to “just know.”

But what looks effortless from the outside was often built through thousands of encounters.

Over time, clinical reasoning becomes faster because you have accumulated patterns.

The unfamiliar becomes familiar.

The remarkable becomes recognizable.

That ability was not hidden inside you waiting to emerge.

It was developed.

What 32 Years in Dermatology Taught Me About Becoming Competent

During my first year practicing dermatology, I remember wondering whether I would ever be able to distinguish one rash from another.

So many things looked pink.

So many things looked scaly.

I studied constantly.

I questioned myself.

I looked things up.

And I wondered whether experienced dermatology clinicians possessed some ability I simply didn’t have.

Years later, I could recognize many skin conditions almost at a glance.

But that did not happen because I suddenly became smarter.

It happened because I had seen thousands of patients.

I had encountered common diseases again and again.

I had seen atypical presentations.

I had received feedback.

I had made mistakes.

I had gone back to the books.

And slowly, the patterns that once required enormous cognitive effort became familiar.

That experience taught me something I wish I had understood earlier:

Competence is not a destination. It is a trajectory.

Comparison Can Make Normal Development Feel Like Failure

One of the least useful ways to measure professional growth is to compare yourself with someone whose developmental circumstances you do not know.

The PA who appears effortlessly confident may have three more years of experience.

They may have seen hundreds more patients with that specific condition.

They may have trained in an unusually supportive environment.

They may simply be more comfortable appearing confident.

A more useful question is often:

What can I do today that I could not do six months ago?

Can you develop a differential more efficiently?

Are certain diagnoses easier to recognize?

Are you more comfortable explaining treatment plans?

Do you know when you need help more quickly?

Can you handle a difficult patient interaction differently than you could several months ago?

Can you recognize what you do not know without panicking about what that means about you?

Growth is often happening long before we feel transformed by it.

Three Practices That Help New PAs Recognize Growth

1. Conduct a Progress Audit

At the end of the week, identify three things you can now do more effectively than you could six months earlier.

They do not have to be dramatic.

Maybe you recognized a deteriorating patient earlier.

Maybe you explained a treatment plan without checking your notes.

Maybe you handled an anxious patient differently.

Maybe you knew exactly when to ask your supervising physician for help.

The purpose is not forced positivity.

It is accuracy.

Human attention is very good at noticing what is missing.

Sometimes we need to deliberately notice what has developed.

2. Keep a Learning Log, Not a Failure List

After a difficult case or mistake, ask:

What did I learn?

What will I do differently next time?

What knowledge, support, or skill would help me manage this better in the future?

Those questions move the experience from identity toward information.

There is an enormous difference between:

“I made a mistake, therefore I am not good at this.”

and:

“Something happened here that I need to understand.”

One closes learning down.

The other opens it up.

3. Have a Competence Conversation

Find a PA or clinician who is five or ten years ahead of you.

Ask:

What was difficult for you during your first two years that eventually became easier?

The answers are often revealing.

Experienced clinicians remember the uncertainty.

The questions they were embarrassed to ask.

The first mistake that shook them.

The clinical situations they dreaded.

Hearing this does not make the transition easy.

But it can make it more understandable.

That is different from saying:

“Don’t worry. Everything will work out.”

It is saying:

This capability develops through experience, feedback, support, and repetition.

This Is Part of the Missing Curriculum

The more I think about the early years of clinical practice, the more convinced I become that we can prepare students better for this transition.

We teach PA students how to build a differential diagnosis.

We can also teach them that uncertainty is not automatically evidence of incompetence.

We teach them when to consult a specialist.

We can also teach them that asking for help is part of safe practice, not proof that they do not belong.

We teach them how to recognize complications.

We can also teach them how to reflect after something goes wrong without turning one difficult outcome into a judgment about their entire identity.

We teach clinical reasoning.

We can also help students understand that feeling confident and becoming competent are not necessarily the same process.

I think of these as part of The Missing Curriculum, the psychological, relational, and professional skills that deeply influence how clinicians experience their careers but are not always taught explicitly during training.

Research on professional identity formation has increasingly made a similar point from another direction: becoming a healthcare professional is a developmental process shaped not only by knowledge, but also by relationships, role models, clinical environments, reflection, and experience.

Perhaps we should make more of that process visible.

What PA Programs Can Teach Before Students Graduate

We cannot eliminate the discomfort of becoming a clinician.

Nor should we.

Uncertainty is part of learning.

Responsibility should feel significant.

New clinicians should understand the limits of their knowledge.

But we can give students a more accurate map.

Before graduation, perhaps every PA student should understand that:

  • Clinical confidence develops gradually.
  • Competence grows through repeated experience and feedback.
  • Asking for help is part of safe clinical practice.
  • Feeling uncertain does not automatically mean you are unprepared.
  • Changing environments can temporarily make competent people feel inexperienced again.
  • A clinical mistake is something to examine and learn from, not an identity to assume.
  • Professional identity continues developing long after graduation.
  • And expertise is built over time.

Perhaps part of preparing PA students for clinical practice is not simply showing them what a competent clinician looks like.

Perhaps we should also teach them what becoming that clinician may feel like.

After more than three decades in clinical medicine, this is one of the lessons I most wish someone had taught me earlier.

And it is one I believe we can teach the next generation differently.

There is no magical moment when you suddenly arrive.

There is the next patient.

The next question.

The next piece of feedback.

The next uncomfortable situation you learn to manage.

And the gradual accumulation of experiences that one day make something difficult feel familiar.

For PA educators, I would love to hear your perspective:

How does your program prepare students for the psychological and professional transition from PA student to practicing clinician?

References

  • Bandura A. Self-efficacy: Toward a unifying theory of behavioral change. Psychological Review. 1977;84(2):191–215. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.84.2.191.
  • Cruess RL, Cruess SR, Boudreau JD, Snell L, Steinert Y. A schematic representation of the professional identity formation and socialization of medical students and residents: A guide for medical educators. Academic Medicine. 2015;90(6):718–725. doi:10.1097/ACM.0000000000000700.
  • Forister JG, Chlup DT. Novice Physician Assistant Learning During the Transition to Practice: A Q Study. Journal of Physician Assistant Education. 2017;28(1):18–26. doi:10.1097/JPA.0000000000000102.
  • Klassen RM, Klassen JRL. Self-efficacy beliefs of medical students: A critical review. Perspectives on Medical Education. 2018;7(2):76–82. doi:10.1007/s40037-018-0411-3.
  • Sarraf-Yazdi S, Teo YN, How AEH, et al. A scoping review of professional identity formation in undergraduate medical education. Journal of General Internal Medicine. 2021;36(11):3511–3521. doi:10.1007/s11606-021-07024-9.

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